Skip to main content Help with accessibility

COVID-19: The impacts

The impacts of Coronavirus (COVID-19)


How can this information help?

To help us and you understand more about the virus, its impact and the future then we have collated, and will continue to, a range of data sources, literature and information that helps us all to respond in the most appropriate way possible.

We will endeavour to keep the information up to date and adding new and relevant content. If you are aware of additional information or feel we could develop the page then please get in touch wirralintelligenceservice@wirral.gov.uk

COVID-19 Data      COVID-19 Recovery


Early research

Public Health England (PHE) published a COVID-19: review of disparities in risks and outcomes (rapid review) into how different factors have affected COVID-19 risk and outcomes. This research work confirmed that COVID-19 has replicated existing health inequalities and in some cases exacerbated them. 

The affects of the pandemic

Nationally

  • More women have contracted coronavirus than men

Source: Disparities in the risk and outcomes of COVID-19

Wirral

Risk for severe illness increases with age

As you get older, your risk for severe illness from COVID-19 increases. For example, people in their 50s are at higher risk for severe illness than people in their 40s.

Similarly, people in their 60s or 70s are, in general, at higher risk for severe illness than people in their 50s.

The greatest risk for severe illness from COVID-19 is among those aged 85 or older.

Wirral

PHE and National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) found that:

  • The mortality rates from COVID-19 in the most deprived areas have been more than double the least deprived areas, for both males and females.

  • This is greater than the ratio for all cause mortality between 2014 to 2018 indicating greater inequality in death rates from COVID-19 than all causes.

  • Survival among confirmed cases, after adjusting for sex, age group, ethnicity and region was lower in the most deprived areas, particularly among those of working age where the risk of death was almost double the least deprived areas.

  • People in deprived areas are more likely to be diagnosed and to have poor outcomes following diagnosis than those in less deprived areas. 

Source: Disparities in the risk and outcomes of COVID-19


Wirral


National

Living in poverty was bad for your health before COVID-19

  • This long read looks at the link between health and income.

  • It explores the nature of the economic shocks experienced in recent years, including those stemming from COVID-19, and the consequences these might have on people’s health.

  • It then considers how we might use the current crisis to build a fairer and healthier society.

PHE and National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) found that:

  • BAME groups are more likely to be tested and to test positive
  • BAME groups have increased risk of death associated with Covid-19
  • Ethnicity and income inequality are independently associated with Covid-19 mortality
  • BAME group population are more likely to:
    • live in overcrowded housing
    • work in occupations which palce them at increased exposure to Covid-19
    • Use public transport to travel to work
  • BAME group population are less likely to:
    • seek care when needed
    • speak up when they have concerns about PPE or testing

Source: Beyond the data: Understanding the impact of COVID-19 on BAME groups 

 

Wirral

 

National Evidence

Over-exposed and under-protected: the devastating impact of COVID-19 on black and minority ethnic communities in Great Britain 

  • This report illuminates why BAME groups are at greater risk from COVID-19:

    • they are more likely to be working outside their home,

    • more likely to be using public transport,

    • more likely to be working in key worker roles,

    • less likely to be protected with PPE and

    • more likely to live in multigenerational, overcrowded housing, so much less able to self-isolate and shield


Understanding the impact of COVID-19 on Black Asian Minority Ethnic (BAME) communities.

  • PHE (June 2020) published a rapid review into how different factors have affected COVID-19 risk and outcomes.

  • This work confirmed that COVID-19 has replicated existing health inequalities and in some cases exacerbated them.

  • In relation to Black, Asian Minority Ethnic  (BAME) communities, then specific work was undertaken to learn more about factors that may be influencing the impact of COVID-19. 

  • PHE has published a summary of this work, which includes recommendations based upon stakeholder’s requests for action for strategies addressing inequalities.

  • These insights will form the basis of the next steps being taken forward by the Equalities Minister.

Beyond the data: Understanding the impact of COVID-19 on BAME groups (June 2020)

  • There is clear evidence that COVID-19 does not affect all population groups equally.

  • Many analyses have shown that older age, ethnicity, male sex and geographical area, for example, are associated with the risk of getting the infection, experiencing more severe symptoms and higher rates of death.

  • This work was commissioned by the Chief Medical Officer for England to understand the extent that ethnicity impacts upon risk and outcomes.

COVID-19 and Black, Asian and minority ethnic communities (House of Commons Library briefing) (17 June 2020). 

  • This pack has been prepared ahead of the debate to be held in the Commons Chamber on Thursday 18 June 2020 on the effect of COVID-19 on Black, Asian and Minority Ethnic (BAME) communities. 

House of Commons Library Briefing: Sources of statistics on inequalities between ethnic groups (June 2020)

  • This briefing paper provides a list of links to statistical and other related resources on differences by ethnic group in a range of topics including health, justice, employment and income.

  • Material is listed by type of resource (e.g. House of Commons Library publications, government publications and independent reviews). 

The impact of COVID-19 on BME communities and health and care staff 

  • This NHS Confederation briefing considers the evidence on the impact of COVID-19 on black and minority ethnic (BME) communities and health and care staff.

  • It explores potential underlying factors, recommends areas for improvement and offers practical advice on how to mitigate risks.

  • Intended for senior health and care leaders, it aims to inform decision making and influence change.

Are some ethnic groups more vulnerable to COVID-19 than others? 

  • This Institute for Fiscal Studies report brings together evidence on the unequal health and economic impacts of COVID-19 on the UK’s minority ethnic groups, presenting information on risk factors for each of the largest minority groups in England and Wales.


Disparities in the impact of COVID-19 in black and minority ethnic populations: review of the evidence and recommendations for action (July 2020)

  • The question of why more people from black and minority ethnic (BME) backgrounds appear to be at greater risk of hospitalisation and death with COVID-19 – and the need for urgent action in order to address this – has become one of the most pressing issues in this pandemic in the UK.

  • This review of the evidence by Independent Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (SAGE) suggests that the reasons why some BAME groups appear to be at greater risk of dying with COVID-19 are:

    • complex,

    • with interplay between socio-economic disadvantage in BME populations,

    • high prevalence of chronic diseases and

    • the impact of longstanding racial inequalities being key explanations.

Inequalities in COVID-19 mortality related to ethnicity and socioeconomic deprivation (May 2020)

  • This study from the University of Liverpool reports analysis of people across 147 local authorities to see whether those with higher proportion of people from BAME groups and levels of deprivation were also likely to have higher numbers of covid-related deaths. 

  • Both ethnicity and income deprivation were independently associated with mortality and these associations were independent of each other, and remained after controlling for population density, the duration of the epidemic and the proportion of older residents.

Coronavirus (COVID-19) related deaths by ethnic group, England and Wales: 2 March 2020 to 10 April 2020, Office of National Statistics, 7th May 2020 

  • This ONS study used ethnicity data from the 2011 census alongside death certificate registration to 10th April 2020. 

  • This provisional analysis reported that the risk of death involving the coronavirus (COVID-19) among some ethnic groups was significantly higher than that of those of White ethnicity. 

Emerging findings on the impact of COVID-19 on black and minority ethnic people, 20th May 2020 

  • The Health Foundation put together a chart series to review the evidence that black and minority ethnic communities are at greater risk of catching and dying from the virus.

  • It also considers the reasons why these groups might be at greater risk using evidence from the Office of National Statistics Labour Force survey.

BAME COVID-19 DEATHS – What do we know? Rapid data & evidence review, May 2020 

  • The rapid data and evidence synthesis completed in four days and published on the Centre for Evidence-based medicine website.

  • It reviewed evidence identified through a Google Scholar literature search and identified additional studies by screening references of included studies and through searching of websites of different government, multinational agencies and COVID-19 resource aggregators.

National

  • A total of 10,841 COVID-19 cases were identified in nurses, midwives and nursing associates registered with the Nursing and Midwifery Council. Among those who are registered, this represents 4% of Asian ethnic groups, 3.1% of Other ethnic groups, 1.7% of White ethnic groups and 1.5% of both Black and Mixed ethnic groups. This analysis did not look at the possible reasons behind these differences, which may be driven by factors like geography or nature of individuals’ roles.

  • ONS reported that men working as security guards, taxi drivers and chauffeurs, bus and coach drivers, chefs, sales and retail assistants, lower skilled workers in construction and processing plants, and men and women working in social care had significantly high rates of death from COVID-19.

  • PHE analysis expands on this and shows that nursing auxiliaries and assistants have seen an increase in all cause deaths since 2014 to 2018.

  • For many occupations, however, the number of deaths is too small to draw meaningful conclusions and further analysis will be required.

Source: Disparities in the risk and outcomes of COVID-19


Wirral

 

Further Evidence

Characteristics of people testing positive for the coronavirus (COVID-19) in England from the COVID-19 Infection Survey

Main points

  • In this ONS article, they refer to the number of coronavirus (COVID-19) infections within the community population in England; community in this instance refers to private residential households, and it excludes those in hospitals, care homes or other institutional settings.

  • Infections refer to those identified from a positive test for coronavirus (COVID-19) from a swab taken from someone’s nose and throat; this means there was evidence that they had the coronavirus when the swab was taken.

  • Individuals working outside the home show higher rates of positive swab tests than those who work from home.

  • Over the study period, infection rates are higher for those working in patient-facing healthcare or resident-facing social care roles than for people not working in these roles.

National

  • Data from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) shows that deaths in care homes accounted for 27% of deaths from COVID-19 up to 8 May 2020.
  • The number of deaths in care homes peaked later than those in hospital, in week ending 24 April.

Source: Disparities in the risk and outcomes of COVID-19


Wirral

 

Risk for severe illness increases with multiple conditions

As you get older, your risk for severe illness from COVID-19 increases and this is closely linked to co-morbidities that include:

  • Chronic kidney disease

  • COPD (chronic obstructive pulmonary disease)

  • Immunocompromised state (weakened immune system) from solid organ transplant

  • Obesity (body mass index [BMI] of 30 or higher)

  • Serious heart conditions, such as heart failure, coronary artery disease, or cardiomyopathies

  • Sickle cell disease

  • Type 2 diabetes mellitus


Wirral


Further Evidence

Abandoned, forgotten and ignored: the impact of the coronavirus pandemic on disabled people 

  • This report highlights the effects of discrimination and inequality on disabled people during the coronavirus (Covid-19) pandemic.

Learning Disability (House of Commons Library) (June 2020)

  • House of Commons Library briefing on policies and services for people with a learning disability in England. Section 1 provides a summary of the impact of coronavirus on people with learning disabilities in England. 

  • The briefing also looks at recent policy changes in the areas of employment, welfare and education.


Developing and new research

Excess weight and COVID-19 (July 2020)

  • This report brings together findings from UK and international studies published during the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic.

  • It offers information about excess weight and its association with COVID-19 for the following outcomes:

    • laboratory confirmation

    • hospitalisation

    • admission to intensive or critical care and treatment

    • risk of mortality

The report suggests that being severely overweight puts people at greater risk of hospitalisation, Intensive Care Unit (ICU) admission and death from COVID-19, with risk growing substantially as body mass index (BMI) increases.

  • The current evidence does not suggest that having excess weight increases people’s chances of contracting COVID-19.

  • However, the data does show that obese people are significantly more likely to become seriously ill and be admitted to intensive care with COVID-19 compared to those with a healthy BMI.

  • Policy paper fro DHSC (July 2020)


Millions more people with higher health risks due to obesity

Multimillion investment in six new research projects to investigate COVID-19 and ethnicity

Living in poverty was bad for your health before COVID-19

  • This long read looks at the link between health and income.

  • It explores the nature of the economic shocks experienced in recent years, including those stemming from COVID-19, and the consequences these might have on people’s health.

  • It then considers how we might use the current crisis to build a fairer and healthier society.

The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on cancer deaths due to delays in diagnosis in England, UK: a national, population-based, modelling study 

  • Since a national lockdown was introduced across the UK in March, 2020, in response to the COVID-19 pandemic, cancer screening has been suspended, routine diagnostic work deferred, and only urgent symptomatic cases prioritised for diagnostic intervention.

  • In this study, published in the Lancet, the authors estimated the impact of delays in diagnosis on cancer survival outcomes in four major tumour types.

REACT-2 study of coronavirus antibodies: June 2020 results

  • Results of real-time assessment of community transmission – prevalence of coronavirus (COVID-19) antibodies in June 2020.

  • The first report from the world’s largest home antibody testing programme tracking who has been infected by COVID-19 in England has today been published.

  • The study tracked the spread of infection across England following the first peak of the pandemic.

  • Findings published by Imperial College London today suggest that 6% of the population in England, around 3.4 million people, have been infected with COVID-19.

  • Key findings of the report on the national home testing study include:

    • In London, 13% of people had antibodies while in the South West of England it was less than 3%.

    • The study showed high rates in those with people-facing jobs in care homes (16%) and health care (12%), compared to 5% of people who were not key workers.

    • There were far higher rates in people from Black (17%), Asian (12%) and other (12%) than white (5%) ethnicity. Work is underway between the Department of Health, local Directors of Public Health and local authorities to understand and mitigate risks of transmission for BAME communities at a local level.

    • Almost everyone with a confirmed case of COVID was found to have antibodies (96%).

    • Those aged 18 to 34 were most likely to have antibodies (8%) with the lowest prevalence in those over 65 (3%).

    • People living in the most deprived areas had higher antibody levels than those in the wealthiest areas (7% compared with 5%).

    • People living in households of more than 6 or 7 people (12%, 13%) were more likely to have had the virus compared to those living alone or with one other (5%)

    • People who smoked were less likely to have antibodies than non-smokers (3% compared to 5%).

    • 32% of people reported no symptoms, and this was more common in people over 65 (49%).

  • Testing positive for antibodies does not mean you are immune to COVID-19. Currently, there is no firm evidence that the presence of antibodies means someone cannot be re-infected with the virus.

UK prevalence of underlying conditions which increase the risk of severe COVID-19 disease: a point prevalence study using electronic health records

  • This study describes the population at risk of severe COVID-19 due to underlying health conditions across the United Kingdom in 2019 using anonymised records.

  • The population were at risk due to a record of at least one underlying health condition, including:

    • 8.3% of school-aged children,

    • 19.6% of working-aged adults, and

    • 66.2% of individuals aged 70 years or more.

    • 7.1% of the population had multimorbidity.


What are the impacts?

rapid evidence review produced by Public Health Institute for Cheshire and Merseyside Public Health collaborative service (CHAMPS) suggests the impacts of COVID-19 have not been felt equally – the pandemic has both exposed and exacerbated longstanding inequalities in society.

As we move from the response phase into recovery, the direct and wider impacts of the pandemic on individuals, households and communities will influence their capacity to recover.

A further resource is the wider impacts of COVID-19 on health monitoring tool. This is a national monitoring tool that brings together metrics to assess the wider impacts of COVID-19.

Impacts on family, friends and communities
The COVID-19 pandemic has had both positive and negative impacts on social and community networks. There is evidence of increased civic participation in response to the pandemic and a positive impact on social cohesion. Thousands of new volunteer groups have been established in communities across the country and the majority of adults believe the country will be more united and kinder following the pandemic.

However, social isolation and loneliness have impacted on wellbeing for many. There are also serious concerns about how the combination of greater stress and reduced access to services for vulnerable children and their families may increase the risk of family violence and abuse. Compounding this, safeguarding issues have been largely hidden from view during lockdown.

Source: Direct and indirect impacts of COVID-19 on health and wellbeing: Rapid evidence review (July 2020 (Version 2) )

Further evidence

How has COVID-19 and associated lockdown measures affected loneliness in the UK?

  • This What Works Centre for Wellbeing briefing highlights findings from the Covid Social Study, as part of ongoing data analysis work with University College London.

  • This study has surveyed more than 70,000 people since March 2020, asking different questions about their experiences and wellbeing over the past few months, including asking people about loneliness.

Supporting carer health and wellbeing in the workplace (Carers UK: Employer survey report)

  • survey carried out by national charity Carers UK shows employers in England are seeing the health, wellbeing and productivity of their workforces adversely impacted by a shortage of support from social care services. 

  • Two thirds stated that there needs to be more practical assistance from care and support services to ensure their staff with unpaid caring responsibilities are able to stay in work.

  • Previous research by the charity suggests each day 600 people give up work to care for older or disabled relatives, at an enormous cost to the economy. 

  • With the Government’s furlough scheme scaled back but many care and support services still closed, increasing numbers of working carers are having to consider reducing their hours, or even quitting work to care

  • (Report)

Volunteering during the COVID-19 pandemic: What are the potential benefits to people’s well-being? (April 2020) 

Coronavirus and loneliness, Great Britain: 3 April to 3 May 2020

  • The Office for National Statistics has published an analysis of loneliness in Great Britain during the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic from the Opinions and Lifestyle Survey.

Misinformation in the COVID-19 infodemic

  • This House of Commons Digital, Culture, Media and Sport Committee report finds that online misinformation about COVID-19 was allowed to spread virulently across social media without the protections offered by legislation promised by the government in the Online Harms White Paper published in April 2019.

  • The report details evidence on a range of harms from dangerous hoax treatments to conspiracy theories that led to attacks on 5G.

The psychology of loneliness: why it matters and what we can do
This Campaign to End Loneliness report looks at how psychological approaches can help tackle loneliness.

  • It is focused on older people but has lessons for all adults. It gathers the current research and evidence available to us about what we can learn from psychology, as well as making policy recommendations for how this learning can be applied and help the millions of lonely people across the UK. engineers.

  • The Committee calls for the government to make a final decision on the appointment of an independent online harms regulator immediately.

Coronavirus and the social impacts on the countries and regions of Britain: Office for National Statistics - April 2020

 

Impact on money and resources

The economic impact of the social distancing and lockdown measures has seen an increase in people signing up for Universal Credit and Jobseeker’s Allowance benefits. Young workers and low earners have been impacted the most and household incomes have fallen particularly among the lowest earners. The predicted economic downturn will have significant health impacts in the short and longer term.

Impact on education and skills

There are various strands of emerging evidence to suggest that children and young people may be hit hardest by the social distancing and lockdown measures. School closures risk exacerbating existing inequalities in educational attainment. Surveys suggest that the richest
households are more likely to be offered active help from school, and that they are spending more hours a day on home learning.

Source: Direct and indirect impacts of COVID-19 on health and wellbeing: Rapid evidence review (July 2020 (Version 2) )

 

Other Evidence

Children in lockdown: the consequences of the coronavirus crisis for children living in poverty 

  • This report by the Childhood Trust documents the impact of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic on disadvantaged and vulnerable children in London (though similar impacts will be felt across UK).

Coronavirus and the economic impacts on the UK: 16 July 2020

  • The indicators and analysis presented in this ONS bulletin are based on responses from the voluntary fortnightly business survey, which captures businesses’ responses on how their turnover, workforce prices, trade and business resilience have been affected.

  • These data relate to the period 15 June 2020 to 28 June 2020.

Economic impact of coronavirus: gaps in support (House of Commons Treasury Committee)

  • This unanimously agreed interim report of the inquiry into the economic impact of COVID-19 has identified key concerns relating to the following groups:

    • those newly in employment or newly self-employed;

    • those self-employed with annual trading profits in excess of £50,000;

    • directors of limited companies; and

    • freelancers or those on short-term contracts.

  • The report makes a series of recommendations as to how the government could effectively address these concerns.

Rainy days: an audit of household wealth and the initial effects of the coronavirus crisis on saving and spending in Great Britain

  • This Resolution Foundation report shows that those most at risk in the pandemic have the weakest private savings safety net to fall back on, while the crisis itself is exposing Britain’s wealth gaps, and the ability of low-wealth households to weather the economic storm.

COVID-19's impact on public finances and government borrowing (Nuffield Trust, July 2020)

  • This Nuffield Trust briefing highlights the immense changes to government finances in recent months precipitated by the coronavirus, and considers what this might mean for health services in future. 

  • The impact of the coronavirus pandemic on public finances around the world has been immediate and massive.

  • In the UK, a combination of lockdown measures and the need for huge boosts in public spending has, in just a few months, outweighed the impact wrought by the 2008 global financial crisis.

  • In order to finance its activities, in May this year the government borrowed £55.2 billion compared to just £5.7 billion in May 2019. Increases in day-to-day borrowing – the deficit – has added to the stock of national debt, pushing it from just over 80% of GDP in May last year to nearly 101% this May.

  • This is the first time debt has exceeded total GDP since 1963.

Covid-19 and public finances

Coronavirus and the then latest indicators for the UK economy and society (28 May 2020)

  • This ONS report uses early experimental data on the impact of the coronavirus (COVID-19) on the UK economy and society, including online price changes data.

  • These faster indicators are created using rapid response surveys, novel data sources and experimental methods.

Impact on our surroundings

People have spent far more time at home during lockdown which may play a role in exacerbating the health impacts of poor-quality housing. Further, an estimated 12% of households in England have had no access to a private or shared garden during lockdown.

Although access to public parks is more evenly distributed, inequalities exist in access to good quality and safe public green space. Air was cleaner and healthier in early lockdown, but global emissions have since rebounded to close to 2019 levels.

Impact on transport

The impact on transport has been mixed. Falls in road journeys during the early period of lockdown have generally been short-lived and there are concerns about the lasting damage that may be done to public transport systems. A positive impact has been seen with more people cycling, but it remains to be seen whether the changes to cycling infrastructure will have a lasting impact.

Impact on the food we eat

Lockdown has exacerbated food insecurity and food need; particularly among children. The number of adults who are food insecure is estimated to have quadrupled. Food banks have experienced a rapid increase in demand but alongside this have experienced reduced volunteer numbers.

Source: Direct and indirect impacts of COVID-19 on health and wellbeing: Rapid evidence review (July 2020 (Version 2))

Access to health and social care
The COVID-19 pandemic has both disrupted and changed the delivery of NHS and social care services. Concerns have been raised about significant drops in A&E use and the health care needs of people with long-term conditions have been significantly impacted.

Source: Direct and indirect impacts of COVID-19 on health and wellbeing: Rapid evidence review (July 2020 (Version 2))


The impact of COVID-19 on community health services 

  • This NHS Confederation report, produced together with NHS Providers, captures the community health sector’s response during the pandemic and showcases the achievements of community providers and their staff.

  • It seeks to learn from community providers’ experiences of the pandemic to secure much-needed transformation for the longer term, and makes a number of recommendations for support from government and the national NHS bodies to enable this.

Coronavirus: health and social care key issues and sources

  • This Commons Library briefing paper provides an overview of key issues facing the NHS and social care services during the coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak, and links to official UK and international guidance and data.

  • It also lists other reliable sources of information in the health and social care sector, including comment from organisations representing patients, staff and service providers.

  • This briefing paper was last updated on 13 July 2020.

The hidden impact of COVID-19 on patient care in the NHS in England (July 2020)

  • This BMA report suggests that the full impact of this drastic reduction in routine NHS care in England is only now emerging.

  • Millions of patients living with health problems (including life-threatening conditions such as cancer) have been affected, with their treatment postponed or cancelled.

  • And millions of patients will have missed vital opportunities to receive initial assessment and diagnosis for health problems in the first place.

  • This is the hidden impact of the COVID-19 crisis – patient safety is being severely compromised not just by the virus itself, but by the knock-on effects of an unprecedented disruption to NHS services.

Number of people waiting over a year for treatment has increased dramatically in months since onset of pandemic (Nuffield Trust)

Chart of the Week (20th July 2020)

Graph describing increases in waiting times since beginning of pandemic

  • The number of people in England waiting over a year from referral by a GP to treatment has grown exponentially in the last 3 months, from 1,613 in February to 26,029 in May 2020. 

  • Hospitals cancelled all routine operations around the middle of March, and specialists were diverted to work with Covid-19 patients. For patients who were already waiting for treatment, this has meant even longer waits.

  • Apart from cancer services, which have more stringent waiting targets, all specialties for which data is reported have been impacted, although year-long waits have increased most for oral surgery, ophthalmology, gynaecology, and ear, nose and throat treatments.

  • Hospitals are now re-establishing routine services, but organising services to minimise the risks of transmission in hospital mean that productivity will be affected for some time to come.

  • The number of people waiting over a year dropped dramatically from over half a million in 2007 to a few hundred in 2013. 

  • As the overall waiting list has increased in the last five years, the focus has shifted towards reducing longer waits again.

  • The NHS operational plan for 2020/21 published in January 2020 had an ambition for the NHS to “stabilise and reduce waiting lists for elective care and eradicate waits of 52 weeks or more”.

  • This ambition could prove difficult to achieve in the current, and immediate future, circumstances.


More patients struggle to get through to GP practices by phone

  • Results from the recent (Pre-COVID-19) GP Patient Survey found that a larger number of patients are struggling to get through to their GP via telephone. 
  • However the annual exercise showed that almost all patients continue to have confidence and trust in their GP and other practice staff. 

  • The survey was completed by around 740,000 patients in England ‘prior to the COVID-19 pandemic’ between January and March 2020.

  • Given changes to surgery access and COVID-19 responses to symptoms then this contact may have worsened over recent months.

Readying the NHS and adult social care in England for COVID-19

  • This report by the National Audit Office (NAO) provides a factual overview of the response by the Department of Health and Social Care (DHSC) and other bodies during March and April 2020 to prepare the NHS and adult social care in England for the COVID-19 pandemic.

Five key insights on COVID-19 and adult social care 

Individual health behaviours

The wider determinants of health both shape the distribution of, and trigger stress pathways associated with the adoption of unhealthy behaviours. Lockdown has impacted on these behaviours in different ways. People who were drinking alcohol the most often before lockdown are also the ones who are drinking alcohol more often and in greater quantities on a typical drinking day. People already drinking alcohol the least often have cut down in the greatest number. The impacts on smoking appear to be more positive, with smokers showing an increased motivation to quit and to stay smoke free during the pandemic.

Findings are less clear in relation to diet. Non-UK studies show decreased physical activity and increased eating and snacking during lockdown. In England, physical activity behaviours among children and adults have been disrupted by lockdown. Although some groups have continued to be physically active, groups that were least active before lockdown are finding it harder.

Source: Direct and indirect impacts of COVID-19 on health and wellbeing: Rapid evidence review (July 2020 (Version 2))

 

Smoking and COVID-19

  • Smokers are generally at greater risk of respiratory viruses. Smoking damages the lungs and airways and weakens the immune system, making it harder to fight infection.

  • The hand to mouth action of smoking provides another potential route of entry into the body for viruses. Smokers are more likely than non-smokers to have pre-existing conditions such as respiratory disease, cardiovascular disease and type 2 diabetes which are associated with poorer outcomes for COVID-19.

  • Analysis of data from 2.4 million UK users of the COVID Symptom Tracker app indicated that current smokers were 14% more likely than non-smokers to develop the three "classic" symptoms – fever, persistent cough and shortness of breath; and current smokers who tested positive for COVID-19 were more than twice as likely as non-smokers to be hospitalised.

  • The international evidence on COVID-19 outcomes for smokers is mixed and developing. A living rapid evidence review by researchers at the Royal Veterinary College and University College London finds uncertainty regarding the relationship between smoking status and SARS-CoV-2 infection, hospitalisation, disease severity and mortality from COVID-19 disease. 

  • According to the latest version of the review, recorded smoking prevalence among people with COVID-19 was generally lower than national prevalence.

    • Current smokers were at reduced risk of testing positive for SARS-CoV-2 compared with never smokers.

    • Former smokers were at increased risk of hospitalisation, disease severity and mortality,

    • while data on COVID-19 outcomes for current smokers were inconclusive.

    • The authors explain that interpretation of results from the reviewed studies is complicated by several factors, including likelihood of being tested and recording of smoking status.

  • What is clear is that stopping smoking brings rapid improvements in respiratory and cardiovascular health, benefiting individuals and reducing the risk of acute events requiring hospital admission at a time of intense pressure on the NHS.

  • Public Health England has published COVID-19 advice for smokers and vapers

General and physical health

It is expected that long-term conditions will have worsened for many people over the course of lockdown and there are particular concerns about the impact of delayed cancer diagnoses and the knock-on effects as NHS services are resumed. There is also increasing evidence that people who experience mild to moderate COVID-19 disease may experience a prolonged illness with frequent relapses.

Source: Direct and indirect impacts of COVID-19 on health and wellbeing: Rapid evidence review (July 2020 (Version 2))

Mental health and wellbeing

Experience from previous pandemics and economic shocks suggests that mental ill health will increase widely during the pandemic, although the scale is difficult to predict. A range of factors may be drivers of poor mental health, including those directly related to COVID-19 (e.g. more generally or because of the loss of family and friends to COVID-19) and those indirectly related through the effects of the social distancing and lockdown measures (e.g. through social isolation or because of financial insecurity).

Source: Direct and indirect impacts of COVID-19 on health and wellbeing: Rapid evidence review (July 2020 (Version 2))

Suicide

  • Cheshire and Merseyside data up to Week 29 of 2020 (to 24th July), shows that the number of cases so far are similar to that seen in 2019

  • To date there is a lack of clear evidence linking suicides with coronavirus/lockdown (as of end of July 2020) – but this will be monitored closely as more information becomes available

  • See previous Wirral Suicide Audits


Further Evidence

Depression in British adults doubles during coronavirus crisis (August 2020)


The mental health emergency: how has the coronavirus pandemic impacted our mental health? 

  • A survey of more than 16,000 people during lockdown by the charity Mind has revealed the scale of the impact of the pandemic on people with mental health problems.

  • Two out of three (65 per cent) adults over 25 and three-quarters (75 per cent) of young people aged 13-24 with an existing mental health problem reported worse mental health.

 

The mental health effects of the first two months of lockdown and social distancing during the COVID-19 pandemic in the UK. IFS Working Paper IFS Working Paper W20/16 (Institute of Fiscal Studies (IFS) (June 2020) 

  • This report finds that the COVID-19 episode has had substantial negative impacts on mental health across the population.

  • The biggest impacts have been on the gender and age groups – broadly women and the young – that already had relatively low levels of mental health.

  • Pre-existing inequalities in mental health have therefore been exacerbated by the crisis.

 

COVID-19: guidance on supporting children and young people’s mental health and wellbeing (Public Health England)

  • Advice for parents and carers on looking after the mental health and wellbeing of children or young people during the coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak. Updated with guidance on 'support bubbles'.

 

New Emerging Evidence series explores the impact of coronavirus on young people’s mental health (Anna Freud National Centre for Children and Families) (June 2020) 

  • In collaboration with the Child Outcomes Research Consortium, the Evidence Based Practice Unit at the Anna Freud Centre and UCL has launched Emerging Evidence, a series of rapid reviews to search for evidence from around the world during the current coronavirus pandemic.

  • The series aims to help us understand the impact of the pandemic on children and young people’s mental health, by exploring some key questions:

    • What are the key mental health challenges for children and young people during the coronavirus pandemic?

    • Are there any particularly vulnerable groups?

    • What might help children and young people to manage these challenges? 

  • You can read Issue 2 and Issue 1 of the Emerging Evidence series, and find more research-focused resources about children and young people’s mental health and the coronavirus pandemic on the Anna Freud Centre website.  

 

Coronavirus: Impact on young people with mental health needs Survey 2: Summer 2020.

 

COVID-19: understanding inequalities in mental health during the pandemic 

  • This briefing paper, produced by Centre for Mental Health and supported by 13 other national mental health charities, explores the mental health inequalities that are associated with the pandemic in the UK.

Communities at risk: the early impact of COVID-19 on ‘left behind’ neighbourhoods (July 2020)

  • A 'data dive' for the All-Party Parliamentary Group for 'left behind' neighbourhoods. 225 neighbourhoods across England already identified as ‘left behind’ prior to the pandemic are likely to suffer more because of the impact of COVID-19 but have received less emergency funding and support than other areas. 

  • The research finds that, although it is early days and results are provisional, COVID-19 is likely to have a long-term negative impact on the most ‘left behind’ neighbourhoods, particularly in relation to employment and health. 

  • Read the full publication

COVID-19 and inequalities

  • Institute for Fiscal Studies report aims to bring together what has emerged so far about the impacts of the COVID-19 crisis on inequalities across several key domains of life.

  • It argues that the years leading up to the COVID-19 crisis, and in particular the hangover from the last economic crisis of the late 2000s, had already left households in a precarious position.

The geography of the COVID-19 crisis in England

  • This Institute for Fiscal Studies report analyses how the health, economic and social impacts of COVID-19 vary around England.

  • It explores which local authorities (LAs) have residents who are

    • more vulnerable to severe COVID-19 symptoms because of their age or pre-existing conditions;

    • which LAs have a greater share of workers in shut-down sectors such as retail or hospitality; and

    • which LAs have a greater share of children either eligible for free school meals or receiving children’s social services, who might be at particular educational or social risk from the crisis.

Characteristics of people testing positive for the coronavirus (COVID-19) in England from the COVID-19 Infection Survey

Main points

  • In this ONS article, they refer to the number of coronavirus (COVID-19) infections within the community population in England; community in this instance refers to private residential households, and it excludes those in hospitals, care homes or other institutional settings.

  • Infections refer to those identified from a positive test for coronavirus (COVID-19) from a swab taken from someone’s nose and throat; this means there was evidence that they had the coronavirus when the swab was taken.

  • Individuals working outside the home show higher rates of positive swab tests than those who work from home.

  • Over the study period, infection rates are higher for those working in patient-facing healthcare or resident-facing social care roles than for people not working in these roles.

  • There is some evidence to suggest that infection rates are lower in one- and two-person households than in larger households.

  • While those who have symptoms are more likely to test positive than those without symptoms, out of those within our study who have ever tested positive for COVID-19, 33% reported any evidence of symptoms around the time of their positive swab test.

  • There is evidence to suggest that infection rates are higher among people who have reported coming into recent contact with a known case of the coronavirus than those who have had no reported contact with potential cases.

  • It is too early to say whether COVID-19 infection rates differ between ethnic groups because the number of people testing positive in groups other than the White ethnic group are very small, although antibody test results provide an indication that individuals identifying as White are less likely to have had COVID-19 in the past than non-white ethnic groups.

Health and Wellbeing Boards reset tool: support HWB chairs move into the next age of COVID-19

  • Local Government Association (LGA) has developed this tool to support the chairs of Health and Wellbeing Boards (HWBs) in moving into the next stage of COVID-19.

  • It states that the LGA can offer free bespoke support to HWBs during this 'reset phase', ranging from a telephone call to talk through issues and planning a meeting to a virtually facilitated workshop to help reset the HWB.

Levelling down: the medium term local economic impact of coronavirus

  • The Social Market Foundation released analysis on the industries, places and groups face the greatest economic risk over the medium-term period (2020-2023) as a result of coronavirus.

  • The report and their data are available down to local authority level. Overall, their analysis finds:

    • Areas of London face the highest proportion of jobs in moderate or severely impacted sectors (Camden 79%)

    • Areas of the North West tend to fall mid-table in terms of impact

    • As a proportion of jobs in moderate or severely impacted sectors, areas of the Liverpool City Region score as follows: East Merseyside 67%, Liverpool 64%, Sefton 64%, and Wirral 60%

    • Note - highest in research is Camden at 79% and lowest is Anglesey at 54%

    • Search SMF report by area

Coronavirus (COVID-19): the impact on prisons

  • COVID-19 presents an unprecedented public health crisis that has put additional pressure on a prison system already in a state of crisis.

  • This House of Commons Justice Committee Report looks at the measures the Ministry of Justice and HM Prison and Probation Service have taken in response, focusing primarily on regime changes and strategies to manage the prison population.


Insight from public and across the sectors

The information in this section looks to gather content at both local and national level. We seek to report the growing evidence as to the key issues being faced by people in Wirral and across the UK as they respond and deal with the outcomes of the pandemic. We would welcome research, evaluations or survey results as contributions to add to this local knowledge, email us at wirralintelligenceservice@wirral.gov.uk

Communities at risk: the early impact of COVID-19 on ‘left behind’ neighbourhoods (July 2020)
A 'data dive' for the All-Party Parliamentary Group for 'left behind' neighbourhoods. 

  • 225 neighbourhoods across England already identified as ‘left behind’ prior to the pandemic are likely to suffer more because of the impact of COVID-19 but have received less emergency funding and support than other areas. 

  • The research finds that, although it is early days and results are provisional, COVID-19 is likely to have a long-term negative impact on the most ‘left behind’ neighbourhoods, particularly in relation to employment and health.

  • Read the full publication

Public perceptions of health and social care in light of COVID-19

  • Results from an Ipsos MORI survey commissioned by the Health Foundation

Financial support for voluntary, community and social enterprise (VCSE) organisations to respond to coronavirus (COVID-19)

  • The government has pledged £750 million to ensure VCSE can continue their vital work supporting the country during the coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak, including £200 million for the Coronavirus Community Support Fund, along with an additional £150 million from dormant bank and building society accounts.

The impact of COVID-19 on the health and care voluntary sector 

  • The health and care voluntary sector continues to provide invaluable information and support to millions of people with long-term conditions as statutory health and care services refocus their efforts on COVID-19.

  • National Voices, together with the Arthritis and Musculoskeletal Alliance (ARMA) and the Neurological Alliance, asked its members about the impact of the coronavirus emergency on their services and their income.

  • Forty charities responded between 17 April and 13 May 2020.

Councils spending thousands on 'littering epidemic' in parks

  • Councils have been forced to spend an extra £33,000 on average dealing with litter and anti-social behaviour in parks since lockdown was eased, according to a new survey.


Below: Graphic of the Immediate mental health impact of COVID-19 across life course

The Local Government Association (LGA) and the Association of Directors of Public Health (ADPH) have jointly produced this briefing about the public mental health and wellbeing issues arising from the COVID-19 outbreak. 

While many people have acted in solidarity in response to COVID-19, and there will be some positive benefits from this community spirit and response, the epidemic will likely have many psychological impacts on the population which may have a detrimental effect on the short, medium and long-term mental health of some residents.

LGA Immediate mental health impact of COVID-19 across life course